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MSRX WeatherWatch

Lightning Risk

Thunderstorm electrical activity

What is it?

Lightning is the electrical discharge of a thunderstorm. It kills and injures more people annually than most storm hazards, mostly people caught outdoors before or after the rain itself.

How we measure it

Forecast thunderstorm probability and CAPE-based instability from Open-Meteo weather codes; the engine flags windows with thunderstorm conditions.

Practical risk guide

  • No storms forecastMinimalNo thunderstorm conditions expected
  • Storms possibleWatchUnstable air — storms could develop
  • Storms forecastActThunder expected — plan around it
  • Thunder audibleDanger nowYou are within strike range

Within safe range

With no storms forecast, outdoor plans are unaffected — but conditions can change; recheck for long outings.

Beyond the range

If you can hear thunder, lightning can reach you — strikes commonly land 10–15 km from the rain core, in clear air. Direct strikes are rare; most injuries come from ground current and side flashes near trees or open water.

Precautions

  • 'When thunder roars, go indoors' — wait 30 minutes after the last thunder.
  • Avoid open fields, ridgelines, isolated trees, and water.
  • A hard-topped vehicle is safe shelter; a shed or tent is not.
  • Indoors: avoid plumbing and corded electronics during the storm.
  • If caught in the open, crouch low on the balls of your feet — never lie flat.